This year's trend of chemical fiber is not optimistic

In 2012, the overall situation of the chemical fiber industry will be more severe, and the prosperity of the polyester market industry will decline. This is the information the reporter received from the 11th China Hangzhou Chemical Fibre Forum (2012) held in Xiaoshan from March 20-21.

Zhao Xiangdong, vice president of China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, summarized the chemical fiber industry in 2011 as “high, low, high, low,” and “unbalanced.” From January to February, the growth rate of domestic chemical fiber production exceeded 18%, which was at the highest point of the year, and then quickly declined. In July and August, it fell slightly again and then fell to 13.87% in December. While the output growth rate gradually decreased, it was also imported. Volume, export volume, operating rate, investment growth rate, profit growth rate, and market price have also been down.

Zhao Xiangdong said that in 2012, from a macro perspective, China's chemical fiber industry will still face many difficulties: First, the lack of growth in international market demand; Second, the domestic market demand followed by growth but the slowdown; Third, raw material price fluctuations will further increase Fourth, new production capacity will intensify market competition, and it is expected that the new polyester production capacity this year may still reach 3 million tons; Fifth, the pressure on resources and the environment and the cost of production factors will continue to rise.

In 2012, the overall situation of the chemical fiber industry will be severe. In the first quarter or even the first half of the year, the industry will be more difficult to operate. The growth rate of output will further slow down, the volume of imports will decrease, the volume of exports will increase, and the economic benefits will decline. It is estimated that this will decrease by 10% to 20%. However, the situation may improve in the second half of the year.

China National Chemical Fiber Information Network PTA current research center Lu Difeng analyzed the status quo of the polyester industry. He believes that in the first half of 2012, textile and apparel exports have shrunk. In the second half of the year, it is expected to pick up moderately, but with limited efforts. The number of well-known domestic apparel brands has increased; real estate market regulation has affected the sales of home textile products; the downstream investment growth rate has dropped significantly. At the same time, polyester production capacity has continued to grow, and the contradiction between supply and demand has intensified. It can be judged from this that the economic prosperity of the polyester market will decline and the competitive landscape will become more prominent. The industry will face a new round of reshuffling.